Iran And Iraq: From Foes To Allies? A Deep Dive

The question, "Are Iran and Iraq enemies?" often elicits a quick 'yes' from those familiar with the devastating Iran-Iraq War of the 1980s. However, the intricate tapestry of Middle Eastern geopolitics reveals a far more nuanced reality. What was once a bitter rivalry has, in many respects, transformed into a complex, multi-layered relationship characterized by strategic alliances, shared interests, and profound influence.

Understanding the current dynamics between these two pivotal nations requires moving beyond historical animosities and delving into the political, religious, and security alignments that have reshaped their interactions, particularly since the turn of the millennium. This article explores the compelling shifts and turns in their relationship, challenging simplistic notions of perpetual enmity.

Table of Contents

A Shifting Historical Landscape: Beyond the Iran-Iraq War

To truly grasp the contemporary relationship between Iran and Iraq, one must first acknowledge their tumultuous past. Historically, the two nations have transitioned from an intense rivalry, culminating in the brutal eight-year Iran-Iraq War (1980-1988). This conflict, which claimed millions of lives, cemented an image of Iran and Iraq as sworn enemies in the global consciousness. The war was largely fueled by territorial disputes, ideological differences between revolutionary Iran and Ba'athist Iraq, and Saddam Hussein's ambition for regional dominance. Saddam Hussein had been Iran's deadliest enemy, a figure whose regime brutally oppressed Iraq's Shia majority, creating a deep-seated grievance that would later become a powerful unifying force with Iran.

The Ba'ath party's rise to power in Iraq in 1968, following successive military coups, and Saddam Hussein's gradual ascent to power through the party, set the stage for this era of intense animosity. His secular, Arab nationalist ideology stood in stark contrast to Iran's revolutionary Islamic government. For decades, the border between the two countries was a volatile flashpoint, and the memory of the war continues to shape perceptions. However, the narrative of perpetual enmity has been significantly altered by subsequent geopolitical shifts, proving that the question, "Are Iran and Iraq enemies?" now requires a far more nuanced answer.

The Post-Saddam Era: A New Chapter

The fall of Saddam Hussein's regime in 2003 marked a pivotal turning point. The US took military action in 2003 partly to bring democracy to Iraq, effectively giving power to the Shia community after decades of Ba'athist oppression. This event fundamentally reshaped the political landscape of Iraq, creating an environment where the previously suppressed Shia majority could rise to prominence. This shift inadvertently opened the door for Iran to deepen its involvement in Iraqi politics, security, economic, and religious spheres. The relationship between the two countries has improved significantly since the fall of Saddam Hussein in 2003, moving away from direct confrontation towards a more complex, intertwined dynamic.

Proof of this transformation came with Mahmoud Ahmadinejad becoming the first Iranian president to visit Iraq since Iran's 1979 Islamic Revolution, a symbolic gesture that underscored the thawing of relations and the emergence of a new era of cooperation. Iran has been deeply involved in Iraqi politics since the fall of Saddam Hussein's regime in 2003, leveraging shared religious and cultural ties to forge strong alliances within the new Iraqi political establishment. This engagement has been multifaceted, extending beyond mere political influence to encompass security cooperation and economic partnerships, making it increasingly difficult to argue that Iran and Iraq are enemies in the traditional sense.

The Shi'ite Connection: A Foundation for Alliance

One of the most significant factors underpinning the evolving relationship between Iran and Iraq is their shared religious identity. The relationship between the two countries is strong in part because both governments are dominated by Shi'ite Muslims. Iran, as the world's largest Shi'ite nation, views itself as a protector and patron of Shi'ite communities globally. Iraq, with its Shi'ite majority population and significant holy sites, naturally became a focal point for this religious solidarity. This shared sectarian identity provides a powerful ideological and cultural bond that transcends historical animosities.

This religious commonality has translated into tangible political and security cooperation. Iranian religious institutions and cultural centers have expanded their presence in Iraq, fostering deeper ties at the grassroots level. Furthermore, many Iraqi political and paramilitary leaders who rose to prominence after 2003 spent years in exile in Iran during Saddam's rule, developing strong personal and ideological connections. This shared religious and political experience has created a fertile ground for cooperation, making the notion that Iran and Iraq are enemies largely obsolete in the context of their current political establishments. Instead, it highlights a deep-seated alliance rooted in shared faith and strategic alignment.

Countering ISIS: A Shared Adversary and Military Cooperation

Perhaps the most compelling evidence that Iran and Iraq are not enemies, but rather close allies, came during the fight against the Islamic State (ISIS). When ISIS swept across large swathes of Iraq in 2014, threatening Baghdad and holy Shi'ite cities, Iran was among the first to offer substantial military assistance. Iran and Iraq became very close allies, supporting each other against the Islamic State. Iranian military advisors, led by figures like Qassem Soleimani, played a crucial role in organizing and training Iraqi forces, including the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF), to counter the extremist threat.

This common enemy forged an unprecedented level of military cooperation. Iraq's primary allies in the fight against ISIS included Iran, which provided critical intelligence, weaponry, and strategic guidance, alongside the United States, particularly in military cooperation against ISIS. This unique alignment, where both Iran and the US found themselves on the same side in supporting Iraq against a common foe, underscored the fluidity of alliances in the Middle East. The existential threat posed by ISIS effectively overshadowed past grievances and demonstrated that, when faced with a shared danger, Iran and Iraq could act as formidable partners, dispelling any lingering doubts about whether Iran and Iraq are enemies.

Iran's Deepening Influence in Iraq

Beyond military cooperation, Iran has meticulously cultivated a pervasive influence across Iraq's political, security, economic, and religious spheres since 2003. Iran has been deeply involved in Iraqi politics, and this involvement extends to various levels of governance. More than a dozen Iraqi political parties have ties to Iran, forming a significant bloc within the Iraqi parliament and government. The Islamic Republic has used these advantages to permeate Iraq's political, security, economic, and religious spheres, ensuring that its interests are well-represented and protected within its western neighbor.

This strategic penetration is not merely about political leverage; it is also about establishing a physical and ideological corridor. Iran's support for Shia militias in Iraq enabled it to solidify its influence in the country and allowed Tehran to create a strategic corridor starting from Iran, passing through Iraq and Syria, and reaching Hezbollah in Lebanon. This "land bridge" is vital for Iran's regional projection of power, facilitating the movement of personnel, weapons, and resources to its allies across the Levant. That said, Iran maintains strong influence in Iraq and Yemen, reflecting its broader regional strategy. This deep and multifaceted engagement makes it clear that the relationship is far from one where Iran and Iraq are enemies; rather, it is one of significant Iranian patronage and Iraqi reliance.

The Role of the PMF and Axis of Resistance

A key instrument of Iran's influence in Iraq is the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF). The PMF in Iraq, with an estimated 200,000 fighters, remains formidable. While officially integrated into the Iraqi state security apparatus, many of its constituent groups maintain strong ideological and operational ties to Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). These groups form a crucial part of what Iran calls the "Axis of Resistance," a network that includes Hamas in Gaza, Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Syrian government, the Houthis of Yemen, and armed groups in Syria and Iraq. Iran fostered these groups over years, providing training, funding, and ideological guidance.

The Islamic Resistance in Iraq, a collective term for several Iran-backed groups within the PMF, has also claimed dozens of attacks against U.S. forces in Iraq and Syria, particularly in the context of escalating regional tensions. This demonstrates not only their operational capability but also their alignment with Iran's broader regional objectives, which often involve confronting perceived US and Israeli influence. The Houthis have similarly sized contingent of fighters in Yemen, highlighting Iran's consistent strategy of empowering proxy allies across the region. This extensive network underscores the deep military and ideological ties that bind Iran and Iraq, effectively dismantling the argument that Iran and Iraq are enemies.

The US Factor: A Complex Triangle

The presence of the United States in Iraq introduces a significant layer of complexity to the Iran-Iraq relationship. While Iraq's primary allies include Iran, which has significant influence in Iraqi politics, and the United States, particularly in military cooperation against ISIS, these two external powers often find themselves at odds. Iran views the United States as a mortal enemy and has exerted pressure on Iraq to compel the complete removal of U.S. forces. This pressure creates a delicate balancing act for Baghdad, which relies on both Iran for regional stability and the US for military support and international legitimacy.

The dynamics are further complicated by regional conflicts. Alongside the war in Gaza, Iran's regional allies and U.S. forces have engaged in scores of attacks and retaliations across the Middle East. While Iran says they want to avert a wider war, the clashes demonstrate the volatile environment in which Iran-Iraq relations operate. A number of military officials in Iraq and political figures acknowledge the precarious position Baghdad finds itself in, caught between two powerful, often antagonistic, patrons. This triangular relationship means that while Iran and Iraq are not enemies, their alliance is constantly tested by external pressures and regional flashpoints involving the US.

Regional Tensions and Proxy Conflicts

The broader Middle East is a hotbed of regional tensions, and Iraq often finds itself caught in the crossfire. The ongoing conflicts, such as the war in Gaza and the Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, have direct repercussions on Iraq, particularly through the actions of Iran-backed groups operating within its borders. The Islamic Resistance in Iraq, for instance, has openly targeted US interests, leading to retaliatory strikes that destabilize the country.

The risk of escalation is ever-present. Experts have weighed in on what happens if the United States bombs Iran, considering the potential for a wider war in the Middle East. Such a scenario would undoubtedly put immense strain on the Iran-Iraq relationship, forcing Baghdad to make difficult choices. The fact that Iran's regional allies and U.S. forces have engaged in scores of attacks and retaliations underscores the fragile peace. For example, over the ensuing days following a particular flare-up, both sides carried out more attacks, which amounted to more than 200 deaths in Iran and 24 deaths in Israel as of June 16, highlighting the region's volatility. While Iran and Iraq are not enemies, they are deeply intertwined in a regional security architecture that is perpetually on the brink of wider conflict.

Broader Alliances: China and Russia's Role

Iran's strategic positioning in the Middle East is also bolstered by its relationships with global powers like China and Russia. These alliances indirectly influence the Iran-Iraq dynamic by enhancing Iran's overall regional standing and providing it with greater diplomatic and economic leverage. Iran and Russia have been military allies in conflicts in Syria, Iraq, and Afghanistan and also share an economic partnership. This long-standing cooperation, particularly in Syria where both supported the Assad regime, demonstrates a shared vision for regional stability that often aligns with Iran's interests in Iraq.

Furthermore, China has also voiced determination to develop a comprehensive strategic partnership with Iran as tensions rise with the US. Beijing's increasing economic and political engagement with Tehran provides Iran with an alternative to Western influence, strengthening its hand in regional negotiations and its ability to support allies like those in Iraq. These broader alliances reinforce Iran's position as a significant regional power, making its relationship with Iraq one of a dominant patron and a reliant partner, rather than one where Iran and Iraq are enemies. This global dimension adds another layer of complexity to understanding their bilateral ties.

What Are Iran's Interests in Iraq?

To fully understand why Iran and Iraq are not enemies today, it is crucial to delineate Iran's core interests in its western neighbor. What are Iran's interests in Iraq? Primarily, these interests are multifaceted, encompassing security, economic, political, and ideological dimensions.

From a security perspective, Iraq serves as a vital buffer zone against potential threats from the West, particularly from the United States and Israel. By fostering a friendly government and strong proxy forces in Iraq, Iran creates a strategic depth that enhances its own national security. The aforementioned strategic corridor starting from Iran, passing through Iraq and Syria, and reaching Hezbollah in Lebanon, is a testament to this security imperative. This corridor is essential for the logistical support of Iran's "Axis of Resistance," allowing for the seamless transfer of weapons, personnel, and resources to its allies.

Economically, Iraq represents a significant market for Iranian goods and services, and the two countries share extensive border trade. Politically, Iran seeks to ensure that a friendly, Shia-dominated government remains in power in Baghdad, safeguarding its ideological influence and preventing the rise of a hostile regime similar to Saddam Hussein's. Ideologically, the shared Shi'ite identity forms a powerful bond, allowing Iran to exert soft power through religious institutions and cultural exchange. These deep, intertwined interests ensure that Iran actively works to maintain a cooperative relationship with Iraq, making the idea that Iran and Iraq are enemies a historical relic rather than a current reality.

The Future of Iran-Iraq Relations: Beyond Enmity?

In the complex landscape of Middle Eastern geopolitics, the relationship between Iran and Iraq presents a compelling study of shifts and turns. What was once a bitter enmity has evolved into a strategic alliance, albeit one fraught with internal Iraqi complexities and external pressures. The question, "Are Iran and Iraq enemies?" can definitively be answered with a "no" in the current context, but this does not imply a relationship without challenges.

The future of Iran-Iraq relations will likely continue to be shaped by a delicate balance of shared interests, particularly against common threats like ISIS, and the persistent influence of external actors, primarily the United States. While Baghdad seeks to maintain sovereignty and balance its relationships with both Tehran and Washington, Iran's deep penetration into Iraq's political and security structures means its influence will remain profound. The religious and cultural ties will continue to serve as a strong foundation, but the ongoing regional volatility will constantly test the resilience of their alliance.

The Middle East remains a highly volatile region, and any major conflict, such as a direct confrontation between the US and Iran, would inevitably reverberate through Iraq. The data indicates that even minor skirmishes can lead to significant casualties, as seen with the over 200 deaths in Iran and 24 deaths in Israel as of June 16, following recent outbreaks of conflict. These incidents, though not directly involving Iran and Iraq as combatants against each other, highlight the region's fragility and the potential for spillover effects.

Iraq's ability to navigate this complex environment will depend on its capacity to assert its national interests while balancing the powerful influences of both Iran and the United States. While Iran and Iraq are not enemies, their relationship is a testament to the fluid and often unpredictable nature of Middle Eastern alliances, where yesterday's adversaries can become today's allies out of necessity or shared purpose. The strategic corridor, the strong Shi'ite bond, and the shared fight against extremism will likely continue to bind them, ensuring that their future remains intertwined.

Conclusion

The journey of Iran and Iraq from bitter foes to strategic allies is a remarkable case study in international relations. The simple question, "Are Iran and Iraq enemies?" no longer captures the intricate reality of their relationship. Since the fall of Saddam Hussein in 2003, driven by shared Shi'ite religious identity, a common enemy in ISIS, and Iran's strategic geopolitical ambitions, the two nations have forged deep political, security, and economic ties. Iran's pervasive influence in Iraq, particularly through its support for various political parties and the formidable Popular Mobilization Forces, underscores a relationship of profound strategic partnership rather than animosity.

While the presence of the United States and the broader regional tensions introduce complexities and challenges, the fundamental alignment between Tehran and Baghdad persists. Understanding this evolving dynamic is crucial for anyone seeking to comprehend the complexities of Middle Eastern geopolitics. We encourage you to share your thoughts on this complex relationship in the comments below. Do you believe their alliance will strengthen, or will regional pressures eventually pull them apart? Explore more of our articles on Middle Eastern affairs to deepen your understanding of this vital region.

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